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Problem 140

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claims/: The 2 claim pages of Problem 140, one per claimant's result; the problem's standing derives from them.


Statement. Let r3(N)r_3(N) be the size of the largest subset of {1,…,N}\{1,\ldots,N\} which does not contain a non-trivial 33-term arithmetic progression. Prove that r3(N)≪N/(log⁡N)Cr_3(N)\ll N/(\log N)^C for every C>0C>0.

Status. PROVED (LEAN). The site credits the proof to Kelley and Meka [KeMe23], whose Theorem 1.1 gives r3(N)≤N 2−c(log⁡N)βr_3(N)\le N\,2^{-c(\log N)^{\beta}} for an absolute β>0\beta>0, below N/(log⁡N)CN/(\log N)^C for every CC; the claim page Kelley and Meka is accepted on the site's credit and Bloom and Sisask's refereed exposition of the proof (the FOCS 2023 proceedings are not a journal, so the page lists no refereed evidence), and the frontmatter standing derives from it. A second route, the September 2026 release preprint of OpenAI with a Lean library two of whose declarations combine to prove the problem at k=3k=3, is accepted on its claim page on those declarations, which this corpus's verification built and axiom-checked; no comparator challenge pins them, and the preprint itself is unreviewed. The site's commentary adds that [ErGr80] and [Er81] conjecture the same bound for every kk. No result before the release proves it for any k≥4k\ge4, and the release's theorem claims it; the same two Lean declarations give it at each k≥4k\ge4 by the same combination, as its claim page records. The (Lean) suffix of the site's label traces to the community database's formal-status mark and to the Lean development in Boris Alexeev's lean-proofs repository that declares itself a formalization of Kelley and Meka's result, linked on their claim page and explained under Formalization; this corpus has not built or audited it.

Source. erdosproblems.com/140, accessed 2026-10-07 (the page, last edited 20 December 2025, credits Kelley and Meka, cites [ErGr80, p. 11], [Er81], [Er97c] and [KeMe23], and shows no formalized statement; its discussion thread and proof-claim tab were empty, and the site's proof-claim listings of 2026-10-06 carried none for it). Cite as: T. F. Bloom, Erdős Problem #140, https://www.erdosproblems.com/140, accessed 2026-10-07.

References.

  • [Er81] Erdős, P., On the combinatorial problems which I would most like to see solved. Combinatorica (1981), 25-42.
  • [Er97c] Erdős, Paul, Some of my favorite problems and results. The mathematics of Paul Erdős, I, Algorithms Combin. 13, Springer (1997), 47--67; printed pp. 50--51: "I offer $500 for a proof that r3(n)<n/(log⁡n)cr_3(n)<n/(\log n)^c for every cc, and $1000 for any asymptotic formula for rk(n)r_k(n)", with rk(n)r_k(n) defined as the smallest size forcing a kk-term progression. Library home: erdos_1997_some_my_favorite_problems_results; paged at problem_p51.
  • [ErGr80] Erdős, P. and Graham, R., Old and new problems and results in combinatorial number theory. Monographies de L'Enseignement Mathematique (1980).
  • [KeMe23] Kelley, Z. and Meka, R., Strong Bounds for 3-Progressions. arXiv:2302.05537 (2023); Proceedings of the 2023 IEEE 64th Annual Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS 2023), 933--973, doi:10.1109/FOCS57990.2023.00059. Library home: kelley_2023_strong_bounds_3_progressions.
  • [BlSi23] Bloom, T. F. and Sisask, O., An improvement to the Kelley-Meka bounds on three-term arithmetic progressions. arXiv:2309.02353 (2023). Library home: bloom_2023_improvement_kelley_meka_bounds_three_term.
  • [BlSi23a] Bloom, T. F. and Sisask, O., The Kelley--Meka bounds for sets free of three-term arithmetic progressions. Essential Number Theory 2 (2023), no. 1, 15--44, doi:10.2140/ent.2023.2.15; arXiv:2302.07211 (14 February 2023). A refereed exposition of the proof; not held. The site's bibliography does not cite it; its key [BlSi23] is the arXiv preprint above.
  • [OAI26] OpenAI, Quasipolynomial Bounds for Arithmetic Progressions. OpenAI Math Release preprint, 23 September 2026 (family 159, with a Lean library); see the claim page. Library home: openai_2026_quasipolynomial_bounds_arithmetic_progressions.

Formalization. The site shows no formalized statement for this problem, and the community database (teorth/erdosproblems, 2026-10-07) lists formal_status: Lean, as of that field's last update on 2026-08-24, without dating when the state changed; by the database's schema the field records a formalized solution and is the source of the (Lean) suffix of the site's label, though the entry links no url or note; its separate formalized: no says that formal-conjectures holds no statement of the problem. The marker traces to the file src/latest/ErdosProblems/Erdos140.lean of Boris Alexeev's lean-proofs repository (added 2026-08-18, its header added 2026-08-23; pinned at the commit of 2026-09-15 on the Kelley and Meka claim page), which declares itself a formalization of a solution to the problem with Kelley and Meka as informal authors and Codex and GPT-5.6 Sol as formal authors and proves erdos_140, that r3(N)=O(N/(log⁡N)C)r_3(N)=O(N/(\log N)^C) for every real C>0C>0. This corpus has not built or audited it, so no claim lists formalized evidence on it. The OpenAI release's Lean library proves OAI.Erdos3.manuscriptQuantitativeDensityTheorem, a bound rk(N)≤C Nexp⁡(−c(log⁡log⁡N)1+η)r_k(N)\le C\,N\exp(-c(\log\log N)^{1+\eta}) for every k≥3k\ge3 and N≥3N\ge3, and the lemma QuantitativeDensityBound.logarithmic that turns it into rk(N)≤C N/(log⁡N)Br_k(N)\le C\,N/(\log N)^B for every B>0B>0; at k=3k=3 that is this problem's statement. This corpus's verification built both declarations at the pinned revision with the toolchain leanprover/lean4:v4.34.1 and found each to use only propext, Classical.choice and Quot.sound; no comparator challenge pins either, and their statements were audited against the problem, so the release's Lean gives formalized evidence on its claim page, where the one-line combination is stated. The suffix gives no formalized evidence.

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