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Problem 415

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claims/: The 2 claim pages of Problem 415, one per claimant's result; the problem's standing derives from them.


Statement. For any nn let F(n)F(n) be the largest kk such that any of the k!k! possible ordering patterns appears in some sequence of ϕ(m+1),…,ϕ(m+k)\phi(m+1),\ldots,\phi(m+k) with m+k≤nm+k\leq n. Is it true that

F(n)=(c+o(1))log⁡log⁡log⁡nF(n)=(c+o(1))\log\log\log n

for some constant cc? Is the first pattern which fails to appear always

ϕ(m+1)>ϕ(m+2)>⋯>ϕ(m+k)?\phi(m+1)>\phi(m+2)>\cdots >\phi(m+k)?

Is it true that the 'natural' ordering which mimics what happens to ϕ(1),…,ϕ(k)\phi(1),\ldots,\phi(k) is the most likely to appear?

Formulation. The constant cc in the first question is read as positive, as Erdős and Graham read it: on p. 82 of [ErGr80] they assert that all permutations occur for k<c1log⁡log⁡log⁡nk<c_1\log\log\log n but not for k>c2log⁡log⁡log⁡nk>c_2\log\log\log n, and the site reads the question the same way when it answers it in the negative. If c=0c=0 were allowed, the literal answer would be yes, vacuously, since F(n)=o(log⁡log⁡log⁡n)F(n)=o(\log\log\log n). An ordering pattern of length kk is one of the k!k! strict orderings of kk distinct values, which the count k!k! in the statement presupposes; the site records that [ErGr80] does not say whether equality is allowed, and that the third question only makes sense when it is. That question concerns the order type of ϕ(1),…,ϕ(k)\phi(1),\ldots,\phi(k), which has ties (ϕ(1)=ϕ(2)=1\phi(1)=\phi(2)=1), so it is read with weak orderings, and "most likely" is read as the largest asymptotic density, following the remark on the same page of [ErGr80] that every permutation has a density.

Status. The site labels the problem OPEN (page last edited 28 May 2026). Its commentary records that the asymptotic of Pollack, Pomerance and Treviño [PPT13] for monotone runs answers the first question in the negative, the accepted partial claim on the Pollack–Pomerance–Treviño page, and that Chojecki and GPT-5.4 sketched the same asymptotic for an arbitrary strict pattern. Chojecki's manuscripts of April and July 2026, the July one answering all three questions no, are the pending full claim on the Chojecki page; the frontmatter standing follows from it.

Source. erdosproblems.com/415, accessed 2026-09-04. Cite as: T. F. Bloom, Erdős Problem #415, https://www.erdosproblems.com/415.

References.

  • [Er36b] Erdős, P., On a problem of Chowla and some related problems. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. (1936), 530-540.
  • [ErGr80] Erdős, P. and Graham, R., Old and new problems and results in combinatorial number theory. Monographies de L'Enseignement Mathematique (1980).
  • [PPT13] Pollack, Paul and Pomerance, Carl and Treviño, Enrique, Sets of monotonicity for Euler's totient function. Ramanujan J. (2013), 379-398.

Formalization. None recorded.

Current assessment

The question (site formulation, 2026-09-04). Whether F(n)F(n), the largest kk such that every one of the k!k! ordering patterns occurs among kk consecutive totient values below nn, is (c+o(1))log⁡log⁡log⁡n(c+o(1))\log\log\log n for a constant cc, read as c>0c>0; whether the decreasing pattern is always the first to fail; and whether the natural ordering of ϕ(1),…,ϕ(k)\phi(1),\ldots,\phi(k) is the most likely, read with ties and as the largest density (Formulation). The site labels the problem OPEN (page last edited 28 May 2026).

The first question. Theorem 1.5 of [PPT13] gives the longest monotone run of consecutive totients below xx the length (1+o(1))log⁡3x/log⁡6x(1+o(1))\log_3x/\log_6x, so F(n)=o(log⁡3n)F(n)=o(\log_3n) and the answer is no for every c>0c>0: the accepted partial claim on the Pollack–Pomerance–Treviño page, refereed in the Ramanujan Journal. The site's credit is commentary on a problem it labels OPEN, so it is not reviewed evidence.

The pending full claim. Chojecki's manuscript of 13 July 2026, posted on the discussion thread as the full solution after a circulation draft of 18 April 2026, claims all three answers no for strict patterns: the exact asymptotic log⁡3x/log⁡6x+(α−γ+o(1))log⁡3x/(log⁡6x)2\log_3x/\log_6x+(\alpha-\gamma+o(1))\log_3x/(\log_6x)^2 for the strict threshold, the counterexample Fstr(826)=3F_{\mathrm{str}}(826)=3 with the decreasing pattern of length four present below 826826 and nine of the twenty-four patterns absent, and density 00 for the tied natural ordering of length two against 1/21/2 for each strict ordering. Both notes were written with OpenAI models, named on the Chojecki page. The manuscripts are unrefereed and the site's commentary credits only the April sketch, so the claim is claimed; the derived standing is claimed, disproved.

Search scope (2026-10-07). The site's page, its discussion thread and its proof-claims tab (empty), the two manuscripts linked from the thread, the author manuscript of [PPT13], and p. 82 of [ErGr80]; no other literature search was made, and no proof was independently assessed.

Known Results

Theorem 1.5 of [PPT13], recorded as a statement on its primes card, gives the longest run of consecutive integers in [1,x][1,x] on which ϕ\phi is nonincreasing the length log⁡3x/log⁡6x+O(log⁡3x/(log⁡6x)2)\log_3x/\log_6x+O(\log_3x/(\log_6x)^2); since F(n)F(n) requires the strictly decreasing pattern of length F(n)F(n) to occur, F(n)≤(1+o(1))log⁡3n/log⁡6n=o(log⁡3n)F(n)\le(1+o(1))\log_3n/\log_6n=o(\log_3n), a negative answer to the first question for every c>0c>0 (see Formulation), which the site page (last edited 28 May 2026) records. The bound F(n)≍log⁡log⁡log⁡nF(n)\asymp\log\log\log n, which [ErGr80] attributes to [Er36b], does not appear there: the site's commentary records that [Er36b] shows only that ϕ(m)<ϕ(m+1)\phi(m)<\phi(m+1) and ϕ(m)>ϕ(m+1)\phi(m)>\phi(m+1) each hold for ∼n/2\sim n/2 of the m≤nm\le n, and its lower half is false by [PPT13].

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