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Problem 981

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claims/: The 1 claim page of Problem 981, one per claimant's result; the problem's standing derives from them.


Statement. Let ϵ>0\epsilon>0 and fϵ(p)f_\epsilon(p) be the smallest integer mm such that ∑n≤N(np)<ϵN\sum_{n\leq N} \left(\frac{n}{p}\right)<\epsilon N for all $N\geq m$. Prove that

∑p<xfϵ(p)∼cϵxlog⁡x\sum_{p<x}f_\epsilon(p)\sim c_\epsilon \frac{x}{\log x}

for some cϵ>0c_\epsilon>0.

Formulation. The site's wording (page last edited 27 December 2025). With SN(p)=∑n≤N(n/p)S_N(p)=\sum_{n\le N}(n/p) the partial sum of Legendre symbols, fϵ(p)f_\epsilon(p) is the eventual-time threshold: the least mm such that SN(p)<ϵNS_N(p)<\epsilon N for every N≥mN\ge m. This is Erdős's f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p) of 1965 (the passage below), the f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p) of Elliott's introduction, and the Fϵ(p)F_\epsilon(p) of Tang and Zhang, who write the sum over p≤xp\le x, as Elliott does. An earlier version of the site's page defined instead the first-passage time min⁡{m:Sm(p)<ϵm}\min\{m:S_m(p)<\epsilon m\} (the commentary records the correction; its display prints a binomial coefficient where the Legendre symbol is meant, as printed); that variant is settled by Tang and Zhang's Theorem 1.2 and is not the page's question, since the termwise inequality between the two thresholds does not transfer the asymptotic (their p. 2). For ϵ>1\epsilon>1 both thresholds equal 11 for every odd prime, since S1(p)=1S_1(p)=1 (their §2.1), so the sum is π(x)\pi(x) up to one term and the wording holds there with cϵ=1c_\epsilon=1. For ϵ=1\epsilon=1 the eventual-time threshold is the least quadratic nonresidue n2(p)n_2(p): SN(p)<NS_N(p)<N holds exactly when some n≤Nn\le N is a nonresidue or a multiple of pp, and n2(p)<pn_2(p)<p, so f1(p)=n2(p)f_1(p)=n_2(p) (checked here in exact arithmetic for the odd primes below 300300; the general argument is the sentence just given), and the ϵ=1\epsilon=1 instance of the wording is Erdős's theorem (78) quoted under Origin below. Elliott's theorem covers 0<ϵ≤10<\epsilon\le1, for the two-sided threshold (Status below), and his introduction records f(1,p)=n2(p)f(1,p)=n_2(p) in the same words. Erdős and the site sum over all primes; Tang and Zhang restrict to odd primes, where the Legendre symbol is defined; one term does not affect the asymptotic.

Status. PROVED, the site's label (page last edited 27 December 2025), credited to Elliott's 1969 paper [El69]; the accepted claim page is Elliott 1969, refereed in Indag. Math. and credited as the proof by the site's curator and by the introduction of a 2025 preprint (Tang and Zhang, arXiv:2512.24631v2, p. 2: "This conjecture was proved by Elliott [4]", the conjecture being Erdős's display (80) restated as their Conjecture 1.1). The paper's theorem (printed p. 165) is the two-sided form: for each ϵ\epsilon with 0<ϵ≤10<\epsilon\le1 there is a constant c(ϵ)c(\epsilon) with π(x)−1∑p≤xg(ϵ,p)→c(ϵ)\pi(x)^{-1}\sum_{p\le x}g(\epsilon,p)\to c(\epsilon), where g(ϵ,p)g(\epsilon,p) is the least tt with ∣Sm(p)∣<ϵm|S_m(p)|<\epsilon m for every m≥tm\ge t (p. 164); with π(x)∼x/log⁡x\pi(x)\sim x/\log x this is the displayed asymptotic for gg in place of fϵf_\epsilon, and c(ϵ)≥1c(\epsilon)\ge1 since every g(ϵ,p)≥1g(\epsilon,p)\ge1. The paper restates (80) as its display (1) with Erdős's one-sided f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p), then replaces ff by gg and says of the one-sided form only that "Simple changes in the present argument yield a proof of a similar result for the earlier definition of f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p)" (p. 164); no adaptation is printed. The standing therefore rests on the printed theorem for the two-sided threshold, on the author's remark for the one-sided threshold of the page's wording, and on the readings of the site and of Tang and Zhang, who report having read the paper. The literal wording is not shown false and is not degenerate: every threshold is finite, the instances ϵ≥1\epsilon\ge1 are established (Formulation above), and for 0<ϵ<10<\epsilon<1 the attested proof stands undisputed. Reopening condition: a reading that shows the announced adaptation to the one-sided threshold fails, or a dispute of the theorem.

Source. erdosproblems.com/981, accessed 2026-09-18: the problem page (PROVED, with the site's note that the answer is affirmative; last edited 27 December 2025; source key [Er65b, p. 232]; commentary citing [El69] and [TaZh25]), its discussion thread (a deleted post of 1 October 2025 with one reply, and three comments of 27 December 2025) and its empty proof-claim tab. Cite as: T. F. Bloom, Erdős Problem #981, https://www.erdosproblems.com/981, accessed 2026-09-18.

References.

  • [Er65b] Erdős, P., Some recent advances and current problems in number theory. Lectures on Modern Mathematics, Vol. III, Wiley (1965), 196--244. Printed p. 232: display (80). Library home: erdos_1965_recent_advances_current_problems_number_theory.
  • [El69] Elliott, P. D. T. A., A conjecture of Erdős concerning character sums. Indag. Math. (Proc.) 72 (1969), no. 2, 164--171 (Nederl. Akad. Wetensch. Proc. Ser. A 72 = Indag. Math. 31), doi:10.1016/1385-7258(69)90006-7 (Crossref record: Elsevier, with an open-archive license dated 2013; the publisher's open-archive file is 8 pages). Printed p. 164 (PDF p. 1 of that file): the definitions of f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p) and g(ϵ,p)g(\epsilon,p), display (1) and the remark on the one-sided definition; p. 165 (PDF p. 2): the Theorem; p. 171 (PDF p. 8): the closing display with the error term O((log⁡log⁡x)−1/8)O((\log\log x)^{-1/8}). The status-defining source. Library home: elliott_1969_conjecture_erdos_concerning_character_sums; result page theorem_p165.
  • [TaZh25] Tang, Q. and Zhang, H., Average first-passage times for character sums. arXiv:2512.24631v2 (18 January 2026; v1 31 December 2025; "9 pages. v2: added a reference and corrected several typos"). Conjecture 1.1 and footnote 1 (p. 1), Theorem 1.2 and the remark on the two thresholds (p. 2), §2.1 (p. 2). Library home: tang_2025_average_first_passage_times_character_sums; result page theorem_1_2.

Formalization. None found. The FormalConjectures/ErdosProblems/ directory of google-deepmind/formal-conjectures on main of 2026-09-18 (673 entries) has no file for this problem, and the community database (teorth/erdosproblems, fetched and again 2026-10-06) lists the problem as proved, as of its entry's last update on 26 December 2025, not formalized, with no formal proof. The site's formalized-statement indicator read no.

Current assessment

The question (site formulation of 2026-09-18). The statement above; PROVED; last edited 27 December 2025. The commentary credits the proof to Elliott [El69], records that an earlier version of the page misstated the problem by defining fϵ(p)f_\epsilon(p) as the first mm with Sm(p)<ϵmS_m(p)<\epsilon m, a first-time threshold rather than the eventual-time one of the statement (its display prints a binomial coefficient where the Legendre symbol is meant), and credits Tang and Zhang [TaZh25] with an asymptotic for that alternate definition. The thread: on 1 October 2025 a post, since deleted, proposed an argument, and Tao replied that its dominated-convergence step was unjustified, since the exponential decay of the limiting tail probabilities does not dominate π(x)−1#{p≤x:fϵ(p)>m}\pi(x)^{-1}\#\{p\le x:f_\epsilon(p)>m\} uniformly, the whole difficulty lying in the regime where xx is polynomial in mm, while Fatou's lemma gives the lower bound; on 27 December 2025 Tang reported the preprint (then a repository PDF, later arXiv:2512.24631) resolving the page's then formulation, the discovery while writing that Erdős's original display (80) is the eventual-time problem, and the literature search that found Elliott's paper and confirmed that it resolves the eventual-time problem, with the remark that the eventual-time asymptotic does not imply the first-passage one; Tao replied asking for more detail on the method and reporting that ChatGPT Pro, through which he had run the paper, flagged a fixable issue with the odd-primes convention; Tang agreed to address both. The page was corrected the same day. The proof-claim tab is empty.

Origin. [Er65b], printed p. 232: "Denote by f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p) the smallest integer such that, for every l≥f(ϵ,p)l\ge f(\epsilon,p)

∑n=1l(np)<ϵl.\sum_{n=1}^{l}\Bigl(\frac np\Bigr)<\epsilon l.

I expect that

∑p<xf(ϵ,p)=(1+o(1))cϵxlog⁡x,(80)\sum_{p<x}f(\epsilon,p)=(1+o(1))c_\epsilon\frac{x}{\log x},\qquad(80)

but I do not see how to attack (80)." This is the site's statement, with f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p) the eventual-time threshold and the constant unspecified; no proof or heuristic is given. The same page carries Erdős's theorem (78) on the average least quadratic nonresidue, ∑p<xn2(p)=(1+o(1))xlog⁡x∑k≥1pk2k\sum_{p<x}n_2(p)=(1+o(1))\frac{x}{\log x}\sum_{k\ge1}\frac{p_k}{2^k}, with the remark that its proof "is surprisingly complicated" and uses the prime number theorem for arithmetic progressions, Brun's method and the large sieve of Linnik and Rényi; since f(1,p)=n2(p)f(1,p)=n_2(p) (Formulation above), (78) is the ϵ=1\epsilon=1 instance of (80) with c1=∑k≥1pk/2kc_1=\sum_{k\ge1}p_k/2^k, so in 1965 display (80) was settled for ϵ≥1\epsilon\ge1 and open for 0<ϵ<10<\epsilon<1.

The status-defining source. Elliott's paper [El69] opens (printed p. 164) with Erdős's threshold in Elliott's words, "the least positive integer tt with the property that for any further integer m≥tm\ge t the inequality ∑n=1m(np)<ϵm\sum_{n=1}^m\bigl(\frac np\bigr)<\epsilon m is satisfied by the Legendre symbol", for 0<ϵ≤10<\epsilon\le1, and with the conjecture as display (1), π(x)−1∑p≤xf(ϵ,p)→c\pi(x)^{-1}\sum_{p\le x}f(\epsilon,p)\to c; it notes f(1,p)=n2(p)f(1,p)=n_2(p) and Erdős's 1961 mean value for n2(p)n_2(p), then modifies the threshold: "For the rest of this paper g(ϵ,p)g(\epsilon,p) will denote the least positive integer tt with the property that ∣∑n=1m(np)∣<ϵm\bigl|\sum_{n=1}^m\bigl(\frac np\bigr)\bigr|<\epsilon m, $(m=t,t+1, \ldots)$. With this modified definition of f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p) we shall prove that the limiting result (1) does indeed hold. Simple changes in the present argument yield a proof of a similar result for the earlier definition of f(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p)." The Theorem (p. 165, quoted on theorem_p165): "For each ϵ\epsilon satisfying 0<ϵ≤10<\epsilon\le1 there is a constant c(ϵ)c(\epsilon) depending upon ϵ\epsilon so that 1π(x)∑p≤xg(ϵ,p)→c(ϵ)\frac1{\pi(x)}\sum_{p\le x}g(\epsilon,p)\to c(\epsilon), (x→∞)(x\to\infty)." The proof (pp. 169--171, five steps; outline only, not checked here) shows that the primes with g(ϵ,p)=μg(\epsilon,p)=\mu have a limiting frequency dμd_\mu, by the Siegel--Walfisz theorem modulo N!N! with N=[log⁡log⁡x]N=[\sqrt{\log\log x}] after a fourth-moment large-sieve bound (Lemma 7, p. 168) removes the primes whose sums exceed ϵm\epsilon m for some m≥Nm\ge N; the constant is c(ϵ)=∑μμdμc(\epsilon)=\sum_\mu\mu d_\mu, and the closing display (p. 171) is ∑p≤xg(ϵ,p)=c(ϵ)π(x)(1+O((log⁡log⁡x)−1/8))\sum_{p\le x}g(\epsilon,p)=c(\epsilon)\pi(x)(1+O((\log\log x)^{-1/8})). So the printed theorem is (80) for every ϵ∈(0,1]\epsilon\in(0,1] with the two-sided threshold gg in place of ff; the one-sided form, the page's wording, is the author's remark, and f(ϵ,p)≤g(ϵ,p)f(\epsilon,p)\le g(\epsilon,p) termwise does not by itself transfer the asymptotic (the same point Tang and Zhang make for their variant). Tang and Zhang's introduction restates (80) as Conjecture 1.1 (with Fϵ(p)F_\epsilon(p) the least integer such that Sℓ(p)<ϵℓS_\ell(p)<\epsilon\ell for every ℓ≥Fϵ(p)\ell\ge F_\epsilon(p), and the sum over p≤xp\le x) and writes "This conjecture was proved by Elliott [4]", their reference [4] being the paper; they do not mention the two-sided modification. The constant cϵc_\epsilon is not given in closed form. Reopening condition: a reading that shows the announced adaptation to the one-sided threshold fails, or a dispute of the theorem.

The first-passage variant. Theorem 1.2 of [TaZh25] (p. 2, quoted): with pp an odd prime, Sℓ(p)=∑n≤ℓ(n/p)S_\ell(p)=\sum_{n\le\ell}(n/p) and fϵ(p)=min⁡{ℓ≥1:Sℓ(p)<ϵℓ}f_\epsilon(p)=\min\{\ell\ge1:S_\ell(p)<\epsilon\ell\}, "For every ϵ>0\epsilon>0 there exists a constant cϵ∈(0,∞)c_\epsilon\in(0,\infty) such that, as x→∞x\to\infty, ∑p≤xfϵ(p)∼cϵx/log⁡x\sum_{p\le x}f_\epsilon(p)\sim c_\epsilon x/\log x." The paper's remark on the same page: "Clearly one has fϵ(p)≤Fϵ(p)f_\epsilon(p)\le F_\epsilon(p) for each pp, since (1.1) forces SFϵ(p)(p)<ϵFϵ(p)S_{F_\epsilon(p)}(p)<\epsilon F_\epsilon(p). However, an asymptotic formula for ∑p≤xFϵ(p)\sum_{p\le x}F_\epsilon(p) does not by itself imply the corresponding asymptotic for ∑p≤xfϵ(p)\sum_{p\le x}f_\epsilon(p)"; so neither result implies the other, and Theorem 1.2 is placed on the variant, not on the page's question. Its footnote 1 records the site's earlier misstatement. The proof outline (p. 2): the average is written as a sum of tail densities am(x)=πodd(x)−1#{p≤x:fϵ(p)>m}a_m(x)=\pi_{\mathrm{odd}}(x)^{-1}\#\{p\le x:f_\epsilon(p)>m\}, each determined by the finite vector of characters (χp(q))2≤q≤m(\chi_p(q))_{2\le q\le m} and so convergent by the prime number theorem for Dirichlet characters, and the interchange of the limit with the sum over mm is justified by a uniform tail bound from sixth-moment estimates via the quadratic large sieve for m≤x1/6−κm\le x^{1/6-\kappa} and from quadratic reciprocity, Heath-Brown's large sieve and the Pólya--Vinogradov inequality for larger mm; this is the uniformity the thread's objection of 1 October 2025 asked for. Acceptance: an arXiv preprint in its second version; no journal record was found on 2026-09-18; the site's author corrected the page and credits the variant to it in the commentary. Nothing here is independently reviewed. Because the theorem concerns the variant and not the problem's threshold, it is not a claim on the problem and has no claim page; the problem's standing derives from Elliott's claim page alone.

Adjacent material (no claim). The OpenAI Math Release manuscript Deterministic Polynomial Factorization over Prime Fields (dated 4 October 2026, at the release's pinned revision) proves in its Section 11, from a uniform zero-free strip of width 10−610^{-6} for the finite-order Hecke LL-functions of cyclotomic fields containing μ12\mu_{12} that it cites as a theorem of a companion manuscript of the release (Theorem 11.1, not proved there), that for every prime p>B200000p>B^{200000} and prime q≤nq\le n there is a prime ℓ≡1(mod12q)\ell\equiv1\pmod{12q} with ℓ≤c0B20000000\ell\le c_0B^{20000000} modulo which pp is not a qq-th power (Proposition 11.3, with B=20+(n+1)(L+1)B=20+(n+1)(L+1) and LL the bit length of pp; result page proposition_11_3). At q=2q=2 the auxiliary prime satisfies ℓ≡1(mod24)\ell\equiv1\pmod{24} and (p/ℓ)=−1(p/\ell)=-1, and since ℓ≡1(mod4)\ell\equiv1\pmod4 quadratic reciprocity gives (ℓ/p)=−1(\ell/p)=-1, so ℓ\ell is a quadratic nonresidue modulo pp and n2(p)=f1(p)≤ℓ≤c0(3⌈log⁡2p⌉+23)20000000n_2(p)=f_1(p)\le\ell\le c_0(3\lceil\log_2p\rceil+23)^{20000000} for every sufficiently large pp: a pointwise bound on the ϵ=1\epsilon=1 threshold, conditional on the cited Theorem 11.1 (the deduction is the result page's, not the manuscript's, which states nothing about fϵ(p)f_\epsilon(p), n2(p)n_2(p) or character sums). A pointwise bound says nothing about the mean in (80), so the manuscript is recorded as background only, has no claim page, and leaves the standing unchanged. Nothing of it was checked here.

Search scope. None of the routes below found a dispute of Elliott's result, a copy of his paper, or a further result on the eventual-time sum; the paper is available as the publisher's open-archive file at its DOI (reference entry above).

  • The site: problem page, discussion thread and proof-claim tab; the full formal-conjectures directory listing of 2026-09-18 (no file); the community database (fetched 2026-09-18).
  • The primary sources: [Er65b] p. 232; [TaZh25] pp. 1--2.
  • The DOI request for [El69] (the linking-hub page and no article) and its Crossref record; a Crossref bibliographic query for the title (the record above is the only match).
  • arXiv API: the record of 2512.24631 (two versions, no journal reference); abs:"character sum" AND abs:Erdős AND (abs:Elliott OR abs:"first-passage" OR abs:eventual) (one unrelated record); abs:"Erdős problem" AND (abs:951 OR abs:952 OR abs:972 OR abs:981) (no records).
  • Semantic Scholar: the citing records of [El69] (two: [TaZh25] and an unrelated 2002 record) and of [TaZh25] (one: arXiv:2604.23661, a 2026 large-sieve inequality for sums of Legendre symbols over short intervals, not on this problem).

Not searched: MathSciNet, zbMATH, Google Scholar, X.

Remaining gaps. (1) The status-defining paper's printed theorem is for the two-sided threshold g(ϵ,p)g(\epsilon,p), and the one-sided threshold of the page's wording rests on the author's remark that simple changes give a similar result, with no printed adaptation, and on the readings of the site and [TaZh25]; the proof (pp. 165--171) is known here in outline only and not checked. Reopening condition: a reading that shows the adaptation fails, or a dispute of the theorem. (2) [TaZh25] is a preprint; its Theorem 1.2 is compiled at claims-checked depth, its proof in outline only and not checked; it concerns the variant. (3) The deleted post of 1 October 2025 could not be recovered. (4) There is no Lean statement of the problem.

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